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FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: FIGHTER AIRCRAFT MARKET WORTH $249B OVER NEXT 10 YEARS
May 23, 2018
U.S. DEFENSE ELECTRONICS MARKET PROJECTED TO GROW, DRIVEN BY WORLD EVENTS AND POLITICS
Mar 12, 2018
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: MEDIUM/HEAVY MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET STABILIZING
Feb 26, 2018
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: RECAPPING GLOBAL DEFENSE SPENDING FOR 2017, EYEING FUTURE GROWTH
Feb 05, 2018
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: ELECTRICAL GENERATION GAS TURBINES WILL SEE SALES INCREASE, BUT OVERCAPACITY LOOMS
Dec 05, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: MARINE GAS TURBINE EVOLUTION SLOW BUT STEADY
Nov 29, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: BIZJET MARKET RECOVERY ON THE HORIZON
Nov 08, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS $22.2 BILLION LIGHT MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET OVER 15 YEARS
Oct 24, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS $213 BILLION REGIONAL MARKET OVER 15 YEARS
Sep 26, 2017
FULL SPEED AHEAD FOR ANTI-SHIP MISSILE MARKET
Sep 13, 2017
AIRCRAFT CARRIERS MARK GROWTH OF REGIONAL NAVIES
Sep 12, 2017
TWO SHIP COLLISIONS RAISE QUESTIONS
Aug 24, 2017
RISING TENSIONS IN THE KOREAN PENINSULA HIGHLIGHT THAAD MISSILE'S KEY ROLE
Aug 10, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL LAUNCHES IMPROVED U.S. DEFENSE BUDGET DATABASE
Aug 08, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: BOEING ON A ROLL; BOTH CIVIL AND MILITARY MARKETS REMAIN STRONG
Aug 01, 2017
DEFENSE FIRMS SEE STRONG GROWTH POTENTIAL AS UPSWING BEGINS
Jul 18, 2017
COMMERCIAL COMSAT MAKERS CASHING IN ON HOT MARKET
Jul 12, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: 15-YEAR WORLD AVIATION TURBOSHAFT MARKET WORTH $34 BILLION
Jun 20, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS $4.15 TRILLION LARGE JETLINER MARKET OVER 15 YEARS
Jun 19, 2017

Press Release

Contact: Douglas Royce, Senior Aircraft Analyst
Phone: (203) 426-0800
Website: www.forecastinternational.com
E-mail: douglas.royce@forecast1.com
Forecast International, Inc.
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Forecast International: Fighter Aircraft Market Worth $249B Over Next 10 Years

NEWTOWN, Conn.—[May 23, 2018] — In its new study "The Market for Fighter Aircraft," Forecast International projects that a total of 3,243 fighter aircraft will be produced from 2018 through 2027. The value of this production is estimated at $249.3 billion (in FY18 U.S. dollars).

The total number of fighters to be produced over the next decade is 13.1 percent (377 units) higher than the number of aircraft produced during the previous 10 years, when production in the fighter market averaged about 280 aircraft per year.

Production during the 2018-2027 forecast period will peak at 380 aircraft in 2021. Annual production will then decline through 2027, with production falling to 269 aircraft that year.

The Lockheed Martin F-35 will be the largest fighter program over the next decade, due primarily to its selection as the tactical fighter of choice for the U.S. Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps. Indeed, of the 3,243 fighters expected to roll off the production lines during the next 10 years, 1,466 will be F-35s, representing more than 45 percent of the market.

The F-35 program has also secured several export customers, but Lockheed Martin must continue to reduce the aircraft's procurement and operating costs if it is to achieve sales expectations on the world market.

The outlook for the remaining U.S. fighters — the Boeing F-15 and F/A-18E/F Super Hornet and Lockheed Martin's own F-16 — was once grim but has improved in recent years. While many of the U.S. government's allies — traditionally the best customers for U.S. fighters — will likely buy the F-35, uncertainty over the aircraft's capabilities and the high cost of early production aircraft are leading other countries to consider legacy U.S. aircraft.

"One key market for legacy aircraft from the U.S. and Europe is the Middle East," said Forecast International Senior Aerospace Analyst Douglas Royce. "Orders from energy-rich customers in the region are helping to extend production lines at Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Dassault and the Eurofighter consortium."

European manufacturers will account for 11.6 percent of fighter production during the forecast period. This includes the Eurofighter Typhoon (95 units), Dassault Rafale (158) and Saab Gripen (125). Meanwhile, Russia's United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) will continue to provide fighters to nations outside the U.S. and European defense spheres. China is a potential competitor in this submarket, but has yet to fully develop a solid export program for its most advanced fighters.

The Platinum Forecast System is a breakthrough in forecasting technology that enables the creation of customized market assessments based on proprietary Forecast International production forecasts and data. With the use of the Platinum system, clients can quickly identify both market risk and future opportunities. System types and platforms, national currencies, geographic regions, and more can all be input into the system as criteria in order to create distinct market segments for evaluation. And all data are complemented by full market reports, Forecast Rationales, Excel spreadsheets, and more.

About Forecast International
Forecast International, Inc. is a leading provider of Market Intelligence and Consulting in the areas of aerospace, defense, power systems and military electronics. Based in Newtown, Conn., USA, the company specializes in long-range industry forecasts and market assessments used by strategic planners, marketing professionals, military organizations, and governments worldwide. Forecast International also maintains a high posture of situational awareness and geopolitical analysis.

 


Contact Information
Ray Peterson
Vice President, Research & Editorial Services
Forecast International
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA
(203) 426-0800
ray.peterson@forecast1.com.



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